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Red40
99905.8
86269.3
7827.5
Blue93
83921.2
8837.7
135017.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions449102060801001201401604093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#7
27.50.8
29.428.6
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End2.1
blue by 10.3
88
#3
37.70.1
37.837.9
Auto12.1
Teleop19.5
End6.0
Second
9.30.8
9.99.0
Auto6.6
Teleop1.9
End0.7
blue by 11.9
839
#4
21.20.1
20.020.1
Auto3.2
Teleop14.9
End3.1
Third
9990
#14
5.81.4
7.46.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 11.8
17.60.1
18.618.7
Auto7.2
Teleop7.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsEarned