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Red81
705630.2
438130.0
657013.9
Blue24
999010.2
6826.2
43955.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844801001508124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.6
28.429.0
Auto11.2
Teleop17.5
End1.4
red by 3.9
68
#14
26.21.8
29.928.0
Auto11.5
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Second
30.00.6
25.826.4
Auto13.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
red by 19.8
9990
#23
10.23.0
6.83.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End0.4
Third
6570
#21
13.90.6
17.818.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
red by 8.3
4395
#28
5.61.8
9.67.8
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned64%Ensemble oddsMissed