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Red75
54823.4
999412.8
30223.4
Blue83
50333.7
353834.1
442216.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61810501001502002507583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#19
23.40.1
29.629.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.9
End2.2
blue by 10.7
34.10.7
33.334.0
Auto11.5
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Second
302
#6
23.40.1
19.419.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End4.4
blue by 10.4
503
#3
33.70.7
29.229.9
Auto13.9
Teleop16.2
End3.6
Third
9994
#15
12.80.1
7.77.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.8
blue by 3.8
4422
#17
16.50.7
8.18.8
Auto7.2
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned