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Red77
999010.2
686114.5
438130.0
Blue75
283221.5
353834.1
22627.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418601001502007775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.6
26.428.0
Auto13.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
blue by 4.1
34.10.2
34.033.8
Auto11.5
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Second
6861
#12
14.51.6
9.010.6
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 12.6
226
#11
27.10.2
23.823.6
Auto12.3
Teleop12.5
End2.2
Third
9990
#23
10.22.6
3.86.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End0.4
blue by 11.4
21.50.2
15.114.9
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned