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Red38
43955.6
102327.3
99819.0
Blue71
57317.5
442216.5
924524.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3956020801001201401603871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.0
27.427.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
red by 2.6
24.71.2
21.022.2
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End1.5
Second
9981
#25
9.00.0
3.23.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
blue by 8.5
573
#18
17.51.2
18.319.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End4.1
Third
4395
#28
5.60.0
7.87.8
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End0.6
blue by 10.9
4422
#17
16.51.2
8.810.0
Auto7.2
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsMissed