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Red73
999010.2
721120.7
50333.7
Blue40
54823.4
657013.9
612014.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67664050556065707340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#3
33.70.9
31.932.9
Auto13.9
Teleop16.2
End3.6
red by 10.3
548
#19
23.41.5
27.926.4
Auto9.3
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Second
7211
#16
20.70.9
18.919.8
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End1.7
red by 6.6
6120
#20
14.11.5
14.813.3
Auto8.4
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Third
9990
#23
10.21.6
6.17.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End0.4
blue by 3.7
6570
#21
13.91.5
17.516.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed