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Red63
353834.1
43955.6
924524.7
Blue69
102327.3
24011.5
999412.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7445020601001201401606369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.4
33.833.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.6
End4.1
red by 6.9
27.30.8
26.727.5
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Second
24.70.4
22.321.9
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End1.5
red by 11.9
9994
#15
12.81.3
10.611.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Third
4395
#28
5.60.4
7.47.0
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End0.6
blue by 5.9
240
#27
11.50.8
7.98.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned