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Red57
283221.5
99819.0
57317.5
Blue63
2178.1
705630.2
283422.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417901001502005763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.6
16.817.4
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
blue by 8.6
30.20.6
31.330.7
Auto11.2
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Second
573
#18
17.50.6
18.719.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End4.1
blue by 4.9
2834
#13
22.40.6
24.724.1
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End3.4
Third
9981
#25
9.01.1
6.98.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
red by 0.9
217
#26
8.10.6
11.010.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed