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Red99
721120.7
102327.3
5126.4
Blue65
438130.0
50333.7
86222.4
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75970501502009965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.5
27.528.0
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
blue by 6.4
503
#3
33.71.4
32.931.5
Auto13.9
Teleop16.2
End3.6
Second
51
#10
26.40.5
23.724.2
Auto11.7
Teleop12.3
End2.5
blue by 3.6
30.01.4
29.528.1
Auto13.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
Third
7211
#16
20.70.5
19.820.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End1.7
blue by 1.7
862
#22
22.41.4
23.522.1
Auto8.1
Teleop12.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned37%Ensemble oddsMissed