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Red89
705630.2
353834.1
612014.1
Blue50
24011.5
43955.6
283221.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94280501508950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.3
33.433.7
Auto11.5
Teleop18.6
End4.1
red by 12.6
21.51.1
17.418.5
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
Second
30.20.3
30.731.0
Auto11.2
Teleop17.5
End1.4
red by 18.7
240
#27
11.51.1
8.79.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End1.6
Third
6120
#20
14.10.3
13.313.6
Auto8.4
Teleop3.5
End2.2
red by 8.5
4395
#28
5.61.1
7.08.1
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed