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Red80
924524.7
442216.5
5126.4
Blue71
686114.5
721120.7
86222.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686002040801001201401608071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#10
26.41.3
24.225.5
Auto11.7
Teleop12.3
End2.5
red by 4.0
862
#22
22.40.4
22.122.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.3
End2.0
Second
24.71.3
21.923.2
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End1.5
red by 4.0
7211
#16
20.70.4
20.020.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End1.7
Third
4422
#17
16.51.3
14.615.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.0
End1.4
red by 2.0
6861
#12
14.50.4
13.413.8
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed