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Red41
283422.4
24011.5
999010.2
Blue83
438130.0
30223.4
43955.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506601001502004183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#13
22.40.3
23.723.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End3.4
blue by 7.6
30.00.9
27.828.6
Auto13.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
Second
240
#27
11.50.3
9.99.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End1.6
blue by 11.9
302
#6
23.40.9
22.323.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End4.4
Third
9990
#23
10.20.4
11.210.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End0.4
red by 4.6
4395
#28
5.60.8
8.19.0
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsEarned