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Red79
283221.5
102327.3
686114.5
Blue60
657013.9
999412.8
22627.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685702040801001207960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.31.3
27.728.9
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
red by 0.2
226
#11
27.10.4
27.627.9
Auto12.3
Teleop12.5
End2.2
Second
21.51.3
18.519.8
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
red by 7.7
6570
#21
13.90.4
13.914.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Third
6861
#12
14.51.3
13.815.1
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End1.9
red by 1.7
9994
#15
12.80.6
12.613.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed