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Red41
924524.7
2178.1
6826.2
Blue91
54823.4
57317.5
353834.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65870501001502002504191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#14
26.21.3
26.525.2
Auto11.5
Teleop12.3
End2.3
blue by 7.9
34.10.7
33.434.1
Auto11.5
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Second
24.71.3
23.221.9
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End1.5
red by 1.2
548
#19
23.40.7
23.424.1
Auto9.3
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Third
217
#26
8.11.3
10.99.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End-0.3
blue by 9.4
573
#18
17.50.7
19.320.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned