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Red35
99819.0
721120.7
24011.5
Blue62
50333.7
76568.8
686114.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38650501001502003562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#16
20.70.4
20.420.0
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End1.7
blue by 13.1
503
#3
33.70.1
31.331.3
Auto13.9
Teleop16.2
End3.6
Second
240
#27
11.50.4
9.69.2
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End1.6
blue by 3.0
6861
#12
14.50.1
15.115.1
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Third
9981
#25
9.00.5
8.88.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
red by 0.2
7656
#24
8.80.1
9.89.9
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed