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Red78
283221.5
924524.7
6826.2
Blue68
22627.1
54823.4
102327.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72920501502002507868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#14
26.20.4
25.225.6
Auto11.5
Teleop12.3
End2.3
blue by 1.1
27.30.9
28.928.1
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Second
24.70.4
21.922.3
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End1.5
blue by 2.4
226
#11
27.10.9
27.927.1
Auto12.3
Teleop12.5
End2.2
Third
21.50.4
19.820.2
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
blue by 1.9
548
#19
23.40.9
24.123.2
Auto9.3
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsEarned