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Red56
43955.6
22627.1
50333.7
Blue66
924524.7
283422.4
657013.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746202040801001201405666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#3
33.70.6
31.330.7
Auto13.9
Teleop16.2
End3.6
red by 9.1
24.70.1
22.322.2
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End1.5
Second
226
#11
27.10.6
27.126.4
Auto12.3
Teleop12.5
End2.2
red by 4.7
2834
#13
22.40.1
21.621.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End3.4
Third
4395
#28
5.60.6
7.16.5
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End0.6
blue by 8.3
6570
#21
13.90.1
13.513.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed