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Red38
57317.5
86222.4
2178.1
Blue51
353834.1
612014.1
76568.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556301001502003851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#22
22.40.8
22.221.4
Auto8.1
Teleop12.3
End2.0
blue by 11.7
34.10.4
33.533.1
Auto11.5
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Second
573
#18
17.50.8
19.118.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End4.1
red by 3.4
6120
#20
14.10.4
13.212.8
Auto8.4
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Third
217
#26
8.10.8
9.08.1
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End-0.3
blue by 0.6
7656
#24
8.80.4
9.99.5
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned