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Red112
608134.2
924524.7
50333.7
Blue64
102327.3
657013.9
6826.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957202040608012014016011264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.21.6
30.431.9
Auto14.5
Teleop16.6
End3.1
red by 6.9
27.30.4
28.127.7
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Second
503
#3
33.71.6
30.732.3
Auto13.9
Teleop16.2
End3.6
red by 7.5
68
#14
26.20.4
26.225.8
Auto11.5
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Third
24.71.6
22.223.8
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End1.5
red by 10.8
6570
#21
13.90.4
13.413.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsEarned61%Ensemble oddsEarned