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Red61
30223.4
22627.1
686114.5
Blue34
2178.1
999010.2
721120.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7641020601001201401606134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#11
27.10.2
26.426.2
Auto12.3
Teleop12.5
End2.2
red by 6.4
7211
#16
20.70.4
20.620.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End1.7
Second
302
#6
23.40.2
23.423.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End4.4
red by 13.2
9990
#23
10.20.4
10.610.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End0.4
Third
6861
#12
14.50.2
14.514.3
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End1.9
red by 6.3
217
#26
8.10.4
8.17.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed