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Red73
99819.0
353834.1
283422.4
Blue86
86222.4
608134.2
283221.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67830501001502007386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.7
33.133.8
Auto11.5
Teleop18.6
End4.1
blue by 0.1
34.20.8
31.932.8
Auto14.5
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Second
2834
#13
22.40.7
21.522.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End3.4
Level
862
#22
22.40.8
21.422.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.3
End2.0
Third
9981
#25
9.00.7
8.39.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
blue by 12.5
21.50.8
20.020.8
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsMissed