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Red50
999412.8
705630.2
57317.5
Blue30
43955.6
76568.8
102327.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714502060801001205030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.8
30.830.0
Auto11.2
Teleop17.5
End1.4
red by 2.9
27.30.9
27.726.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Second
573
#18
17.50.8
18.317.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End4.1
red by 8.7
7656
#24
8.80.9
9.58.6
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End2.5
Third
9994
#15
12.80.9
12.912.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.8
red by 7.2
4395
#28
5.60.9
6.55.6
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsMissed