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Red56
686114.5
6826.2
99819.0
Blue38
86222.4
924524.7
999010.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446601001505638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#14
26.20.3
29.629.9
Auto11.5
Teleop12.3
End2.3
red by 1.6
24.71.3
21.520.2
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End1.5
Second
6861
#12
14.50.3
8.48.7
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 7.9
862
#22
22.41.3
26.625.4
Auto8.1
Teleop12.3
End2.0
Third
9981
#25
9.00.5
6.46.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
blue by 1.2
9990
#23
10.22.1
9.06.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsMissed