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Red37
657013.9
608134.2
24011.5
Blue77
76568.8
283221.5
721120.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724602060801001201401603777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.21.7
33.131.5
Auto14.5
Teleop16.6
End3.1
red by 12.7
21.50.8
13.714.5
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
Second
6570
#21
13.91.7
19.417.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
blue by 6.8
7211
#16
20.70.8
17.918.7
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End1.7
Third
240
#27
11.51.7
9.57.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End1.6
red by 2.7
7656
#24
8.80.8
13.514.3
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed