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Red48
612014.1
22627.1
57317.5
Blue62
50333.7
999412.8
705630.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667501001502002503003504862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#11
27.11.0
26.325.3
Auto12.3
Teleop12.5
End2.2
blue by 6.6
503
#3
33.70.3
29.529.2
Auto13.9
Teleop16.2
End3.6
Second
573
#18
17.51.0
19.818.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End4.1
blue by 12.6
30.20.3
28.728.4
Auto11.2
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Third
6120
#20
14.11.0
14.513.6
Auto8.4
Teleop3.5
End2.2
red by 1.3
9994
#15
12.80.5
8.27.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed54%Ensemble oddsMissed