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Red40
5016.0
176110.6
81118.2
Blue52
62019.5
8833.2
3489.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28480204060804052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#11
18.20.7
14.715.4
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End2.2
blue by 15.0
88
#2
33.20.7
26.827.5
Auto12.6
Teleop14.9
End5.7
Second
1761
#25
10.61.1
8.69.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.4
End2.2
red by 0.8
348
#16
9.80.7
6.77.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Third
501
#35
6.01.1
4.45.6
Auto0.7
Teleop3.7
End1.5
blue by 3.6
6201
#22
9.51.2
7.89.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed