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Red75
944323.9
395812.6
632842.6
Blue24
417614.1
76749.5
172112.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673802060801001201401607524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.2
30.631.8
Auto17.0
Teleop20.7
End4.9
red by 28.4
14.11.6
13.812.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Second
23.91.2
17.018.1
Auto9.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9
red by 11.5
1721
#23
12.41.6
11.39.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End2.2
Third
3958
#30
12.61.2
9.811.0
Auto8.3
Teleop2.7
End1.6
red by 3.1
7674
#29
9.51.6
13.011.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed