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Red51
791321.4
208414.5
13823.1
Blue67
476113.4
50915.4
346736.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4453204060801005167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#8
23.10.3
18.318.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.7
End2.5
blue by 13.1
36.21.4
28.229.5
Auto13.8
Teleop19.8
End2.6
Second
7913
#13
21.40.3
15.515.8
Auto6.4
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 6.0
509
#12
15.42.3
5.17.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Third
2084
#14
14.50.5
7.37.8
Auto2.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 1.1
4761
#21
13.42.3
13.215.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed