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Red48
454620.1
111914.3
237021.6
Blue47
107312.1
431118.9
8833.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44682060801004847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#17
21.60.6
14.615.2
Auto3.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
blue by 11.6
88
#2
33.20.8
27.526.7
Auto12.6
Teleop14.9
End5.7
Second
4546
#10
20.10.6
13.514.0
Auto8.0
Teleop11.3
End0.8
red by 1.2
4311
#15
18.91.3
14.212.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End1.1
Third
1119
#26
14.30.3
14.715.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.3
red by 2.2
1073
#18
12.11.3
16.715.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed