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Red12
18314.9
237021.6
320510.9
Blue61
176110.6
791321.4
944323.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365402060801001261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#17
21.62.6
17.815.2
Auto3.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
blue by 2.4
23.90.9
21.222.1
Auto9.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Second
3205
#24
10.92.8
8.25.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 10.6
7913
#13
21.40.9
17.218.2
Auto6.4
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Third
1831
#34
4.92.8
8.86.0
Auto1.9
Teleop1.2
End1.8
blue by 5.6
1761
#25
10.61.6
8.510.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed