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Red38
395812.6
476113.4
431118.9
Blue44
3489.8
172112.4
208414.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46280204060801003844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4311
#15
18.90.2
14.914.8
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 4.4
2084
#14
14.50.6
11.011.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Second
4761
#21
13.40.1
13.513.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End0.9
red by 1.0
1721
#23
12.40.7
10.311.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End2.2
Third
3958
#30
12.60.1
10.910.8
Auto8.3
Teleop2.7
End1.6
red by 2.8
348
#16
9.80.4
6.67.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed