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Red101
632842.6
346736.2
147411.7
Blue59
50915.4
208414.5
127717.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10342015010159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.1
41.241.3
Auto17.0
Teleop20.7
End4.9
red by 24.7
1277
#19
17.80.2
17.117.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End2.7
Second
36.20.1
34.834.9
Auto13.8
Teleop19.8
End2.6
red by 20.8
509
#12
15.40.2
14.714.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Third
1474
#31
11.70.1
10.310.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End0.5
blue by 2.8
2084
#14
14.50.2
13.814.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2