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Red41
454620.1
872420.6
15114.0
Blue53
287622.3
13823.1
107312.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58662040801004153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.4
20.119.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End1.5
blue by 2.5
138
#8
23.10.2
23.723.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.7
End2.5
Second
4546
#10
20.10.4
19.619.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 2.2
22.30.2
22.622.5
Auto10.3
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Third
151
#20
14.00.4
13.513.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End0.6
red by 1.8
1073
#18
12.10.2
12.512.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.2