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Red35
500016.9
99954.5
176832.9
Blue81
23819.8
7825.6
973.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525601001502003581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.7
30.528.8
Auto9.6
Teleop22.3
End0.9
red by 7.4
78
#7
25.60.1
27.527.6
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
Second
5000
#18
16.91.7
17.115.4
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End4.8
blue by 2.9
238
#8
19.80.1
16.516.5
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Third
9995
#30
4.52.8
8.05.1
Auto3.3
Teleop1.5
End-0.2
red by 1.0
97
#24
3.60.1
5.85.9
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsMissed