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Red38
87247.2
620111.8
115328.6
Blue18
19016.5
24615.5
573521.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548601001502003818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.0
29.528.5
Auto11.8
Teleop13.9
End2.9
red by 7.0
5735
#13
21.63.8
31.728.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End2.6
Second
6201
#12
11.81.0
11.510.5
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End0.8
blue by 4.7
190
#21
16.53.8
21.117.3
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Third
8724
#31
7.21.0
11.710.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.3
blue by 8.3
246
#11
15.53.8
21.617.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed