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Red59
8832.8
23819.8
404110.7
Blue39
596212.4
973.6
115328.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745401001502005939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#1
32.81.2
34.533.3
Auto10.1
Teleop17.1
End5.5
red by 4.1
28.61.5
27.726.2
Auto11.8
Teleop13.9
End2.9
Second
238
#8
19.81.2
16.215.0
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End2.6
red by 7.4
5962
#28
12.41.5
16.815.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
Third
4041
#27
10.71.2
14.313.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4
red by 7.2
97
#24
3.61.5
6.95.4
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed