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Red59
500016.9
620111.8
673118.0
Blue65
99954.5
632843.5
105826.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508301001502005965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6731
#32
18.00.4
21.922.3
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End2.1
blue by 25.5
43.50.8
45.845.0
Auto12.7
Teleop25.6
End5.2
Second
5000
#18
16.90.4
15.115.4
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End4.8
blue by 9.8
26.70.8
26.425.6
Auto8.6
Teleop16.4
End1.7
Third
6201
#12
11.80.4
11.611.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End0.8
red by 7.3
9995
#30
4.51.3
4.93.6
Auto3.3
Teleop1.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned60%Ensemble oddsMissed