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Red35
944317.4
24615.5
147413.4
Blue83
7825.6
15721.4
207915.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567401001502003583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9443
#15
17.41.2
21.520.3
Auto8.8
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 8.1
78
#7
25.60.2
24.825.0
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
Second
246
#11
15.51.2
18.817.6
Auto5.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.5
blue by 5.9
157
#9
21.40.2
22.422.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.7
End1.6
Third
1474
#19
13.41.2
12.611.4
Auto7.5
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 2.5
2079
#23
15.90.2
17.017.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed