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Red42
242312.9
910113.2
862610.6
Blue48
573521.6
404823.1
279116.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29810501001504248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9101
#22
13.20.3
13.013.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 9.9
4048
#10
23.12.4
27.324.9
Auto11.1
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Second
2423
#16
12.90.3
11.812.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.6
blue by 8.8
5735
#13
21.62.4
25.723.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End2.6
Third
8626
#25
10.60.3
8.08.2
Auto7.5
Teleop2.5
End0.6
blue by 5.9
2791
#20
16.52.4
14.311.9
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned