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Red50
404823.1
973.6
5822.4
Blue61
7825.6
271325.6
620111.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487702040601001201401605061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#10
23.10.7
24.924.2
Auto11.1
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 2.5
2713
#29
25.60.7
27.627.0
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End0.9
Second
58
#26
22.40.7
16.716.0
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End1.5
blue by 3.1
78
#7
25.60.7
25.024.4
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
Third
97
#24
3.60.7
4.53.8
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End0.6
blue by 8.2
6201
#12
11.80.7
13.112.5
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed