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Red71
862610.6
176832.9
147413.4
Blue60
632843.5
596212.4
87247.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527701001502007160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.4
31.833.2
Auto9.6
Teleop22.3
End0.9
blue by 10.6
43.50.4
44.844.4
Auto12.7
Teleop25.6
End5.2
Second
1474
#19
13.41.4
11.212.6
Auto7.5
Teleop3.4
End2.4
red by 0.9
5962
#28
12.40.4
13.212.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
Third
8626
#25
10.61.4
7.18.5
Auto7.5
Teleop2.5
End0.6
red by 3.5
8724
#31
7.20.4
8.58.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed