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Red61
279116.5
490919.5
24615.5
Blue41
573521.6
404110.7
99954.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5934020801001201406141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#14
19.50.6
19.819.2
Auto8.0
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 2.1
5735
#13
21.60.3
22.121.8
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End2.6
Second
2791
#20
16.50.6
12.511.9
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
red by 5.8
4041
#27
10.70.3
12.211.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4
Third
246
#11
15.50.6
17.817.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.5
red by 10.9
9995
#30
4.50.4
5.65.1
Auto3.3
Teleop1.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed