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Red73
910113.2
8832.8
404823.1
Blue64
207915.9
500016.9
19016.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8546020601001201401607364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#1
32.80.0
34.234.3
Auto10.1
Teleop17.1
End5.5
red by 15.8
5000
#18
16.90.9
16.017.0
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End4.8
Second
4048
#10
23.10.0
24.224.2
Auto11.1
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 6.7
190
#21
16.50.9
15.015.9
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Third
9101
#22
13.20.0
13.914.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 2.7
2079
#23
15.90.9
15.216.1
Auto6.6
Teleop9.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed