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Red98
545920.5
242312.9
46724.7
Blue22
944317.4
23819.8
673118.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53660204060801001209822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#6
24.72.2
20.622.8
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End2.5
red by 4.9
238
#8
19.82.4
15.813.4
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Second
5459
#17
20.52.2
17.719.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.6
End1.8
red by 2.5
6731
#32
18.02.4
21.118.7
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Third
2423
#16
12.92.2
11.213.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.6
blue by 4.6
9443
#15
17.42.4
21.218.8
Auto8.8
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsMissed