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Red95
115328.6
7825.6
632843.5
Blue59
15721.4
105826.7
279116.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113620501001502009559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.7
44.443.7
Auto12.7
Teleop25.6
End5.2
red by 16.8
26.70.8
26.425.6
Auto8.6
Teleop16.4
End1.7
Second
28.60.7
27.126.4
Auto11.8
Teleop13.9
End2.9
red by 7.3
157
#9
21.40.8
22.922.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.7
End1.6
Third
78
#7
25.60.7
24.423.7
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
red by 9.1
2791
#20
16.50.8
11.911.1
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
92%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned