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Red60
490919.5
105826.7
545920.5
Blue92
24615.5
176832.9
973.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795501001506092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.9
27.226.4
Auto8.6
Teleop16.4
End1.7
blue by 6.3
32.91.0
28.829.7
Auto9.6
Teleop22.3
End0.9
Second
5459
#17
20.50.9
20.920.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.6
End1.8
red by 5.0
246
#11
15.51.0
17.818.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.5
Third
4909
#14
19.50.9
20.119.2
Auto8.0
Teleop9.6
End2.0
red by 15.9
97
#24
3.61.0
5.96.9
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed