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Red32
596212.4
673118.0
7825.6
Blue52
115328.6
19016.5
910113.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8264020401001201403252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#7
25.62.8
27.624.8
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
blue by 3.1
28.60.8
28.527.7
Auto11.8
Teleop13.9
End2.9
Second
6731
#32
18.02.8
24.721.9
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End2.1
red by 1.5
190
#21
16.50.8
17.316.5
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Third
5962
#28
12.42.8
19.516.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
blue by 0.8
9101
#22
13.20.8
13.813.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed