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Red61
632843.5
573521.6
242312.9
Blue47
271325.6
207915.9
46724.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103760501502002506147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.52.3
48.145.8
Auto12.7
Teleop25.6
End5.2
red by 17.9
2713
#29
25.62.0
31.529.6
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End0.9
Second
5735
#13
21.62.3
28.025.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End2.6
blue by 3.1
467
#6
24.72.0
21.219.2
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Third
2423
#16
12.92.3
14.111.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.6
blue by 3.0
2079
#23
15.92.0
19.017.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
77%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed