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Red108
8832.8
500016.9
632843.5
Blue100
23819.8
5822.4
279116.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11241050100150108100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.1
43.543.6
Auto12.7
Teleop25.6
End5.2
red by 21.1
58
#26
22.41.0
17.919.0
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End1.5
Second
88
#1
32.80.1
32.732.8
Auto10.1
Teleop17.1
End5.5
red by 12.9
238
#8
19.81.0
15.416.4
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Third
5000
#18
16.90.1
16.816.9
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End4.8
red by 0.4
2791
#20
16.51.0
12.013.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8