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Red42
207915.9
7825.6
176832.9
Blue60
105826.7
115328.6
973.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86600501001504260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.7
32.932.2
Auto9.6
Teleop22.3
End0.9
red by 4.3
28.60.1
27.927.9
Auto11.8
Teleop13.9
End2.9
Second
78
#7
25.60.7
25.624.8
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
blue by 1.1
26.70.1
25.926.0
Auto8.6
Teleop16.4
End1.7
Third
2079
#23
15.90.7
15.915.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.0
End0.3
red by 12.3
97
#24
3.60.1
3.53.6
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End0.6